Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Saturday Slate

← The board
Fri, Oct 16 · 11:00pm CT · LaVell Edwards Stadium · Provo, UT11:00pm CT
#3 ND
Notre Dame Fighting Irish · Independents · 3-0 · Away
FPI 26.8 · rank 4 · No CFBD row
-10 (-110)
-440
#9 BYU
BYU Cougars · Big 12 · 3-0 · Home
FPI 15.2 · rank 19 · No CFBD row
+10 (-110)
+340

Market vs model

Spread
ND -10
BYU +10 (-110)
ND -10 (-110)
Model
ND -9.1
Edge 0.9 pts BYU
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
ND
BYU +340 · ND -440
Total 54.5 — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket

Number from DraftKings, via ESPN.

Why

CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.

  • BYU rating 15.2, ND rating 26.8.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
  • Home field adds 2.5 to BYU.
  • Predicted margin is ND by 9.1.
  • Edge is 0.9 points toward BYU.
  • Edge 0.9 pts — inside the 1.5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap -11.6; home field +2.5).
  • Moneyline ticket is ND, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
  • No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.

Recent form

ND

FPI 26.8 · rank 4 · No CFBD row

  1. Wvs MSU 27-10 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. Wvs RICE 52-0 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. Wvs WIS 41-13 · Sun, Sep 6
  4. W@ STAN 49-20 · Sat, Nov 29
  5. Wvs SYR 70-7 · Sat, Nov 22

BYU

FPI 15.2 · rank 19 · No CFBD row

  1. W@ CSU 41-23 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. Wvs ARIZ 28-17 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. Wvs UTU 63-7 · Sat, Sep 5
  4. Wvs GT 25-21 · Sat, Dec 27
  5. Lvs TTU 34-7 · Sat, Dec 6

Injuries

no injury feed wired yet

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.

Edge 0.9 pts — inside the 1.5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap -11.6; home field +2.5).

Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.