Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026
The Saturday Slate
Fri, Sep 18 · 7:00pm CT · Galaxy Stadium · Lubbock, TX · FOXFinal
#25 HOU
Houston Cougars · Big 12 · 2-1 · Away
FPI 10.8 · rank 31 · No CFBD row
+7.5 (-108)
+260
#11 TTU
Texas Tech Red Raiders · Big 12 · 3-0 · Home
FPI 15.8 · rank 17 · No CFBD row
-7.5 (-112)
-325
Market vs model
Spread
TTU -7.5
TTU -7.5 (-112)
HOU +7.5 (-108)
HOU +7.5 (-108)
Model
TTU -7.5
Edge —
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
TTU
TTU -325 · HOU +260
Total 52.5 — no O/U pick
Total 52.5 — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
ML win
Why
CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.
- TTU rating 15.8, HOU rating 10.8.
- Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
- Home field adds 2.5 to TTU.
- Predicted margin is TTU by 7.5.
- There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
- Model home 7.5. No market line yet. (Rating gap 5; home field +2.5).
- Moneyline ticket is TTU, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
- No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.
Recent form
HOU
ESPN did not send a recent-form list.
TTU
ESPN did not send a recent-form list.
Injuries
no injury feed wired yet
Lock a ticket
Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.
Model home 7.5. No market line yet. (Rating gap 5; home field +2.5).
Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.