Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026
The Saturday Slate
Sat, Sep 26 · 2:30pm CT · Acrisure Bounce House · Orlando, FL · FS12:30pm CT
TCU
TCU Horned Frogs · Big 12 · 2-1 · Away
FPI 7.2 · rank 41 · No CFBD row
-3 (-110)
-155
UCF
UCF Knights · Big 12 · 2-1 · Home
FPI 4.9 · rank 52 · No CFBD row
+3 (-110)
+130
Market vs model
Spread
TCU -3
UCF +3 (-110)
TCU -3 (-110)
TCU -3 (-110)
Model
UCF -0.1
Edge 3.1 pts UCF
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
Pass
UCF +130 · TCU -155
Total 48.5 — no O/U pick
Total 48.5 — no O/U pick
CallPlay
Why
CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.
- UCF rating 4.9, TCU rating 7.2.
- Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
- Home field adds 2.5 to UCF.
- Predicted margin is UCF by 0.1.
- Edge is 3.1 points toward UCF.
- Edge 3.1 pts vs the posted number. (Rating gap -2.4; home field +2.5).
- Moneyline is a pass — the predicted margin is inside 2 points.
- No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.
Recent form
TCU
- Wvs ARST 31-7 · Sat, Sep 19
- Wvs GRAM 63-7 · Sat, Sep 12
- Lvs UNC 15-10 · Sat, Aug 29
- Wvs USC 30-27 OT · Tue, Dec 30
- Wvs CIN 45-23 · Sat, Nov 29
UCF
- Wvs GAST 44-30 · Sat, Sep 19
- L@ PITT 12-7 · Sat, Sep 12
- Wvs BCU 73-6 · Thu, Sep 3
- L@ BYU 41-21 · Sat, Nov 29
- Wvs OKST 17-14 · Sat, Nov 22
Injuries
no injury feed wired yet
Lock a ticket
Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.
Writes this spread into the ledger. Closing-line value stays blank.
No moneyline ticket — predicted margin is inside 2 points.