Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Saturday Slate

CollegeNFL
← The board
Sat, Sep 26 · 2:30pm CT · Jack Trice Stadium · Ames, IA · FOX2:30pm CT
#15 UTAH
Utah Utes · Big 12 · 3-0 · Away
FPI 16.5 · rank 15 · No CFBD row
-8.5 (-105)
-340
ISU
Iowa State Cyclones · Big 12 · 2-1 · Home
FPI 4.4 · rank 55 · No CFBD row
+8.5 (-115)
+270

Market vs model

Spread
UTAH -8.5
ISU +8.5 (-115)
UTAH -8.5 (-105)
Model
UTAH -9.6
Edge 1.1 pts UTAH
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
UTAH
ISU +270 · UTAH -340
Total 48.5 — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket

Number from DraftKings, via ESPN.

Why

CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.

  • ISU rating 4.4, UTAH rating 16.5.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
  • Home field adds 2.5 to ISU.
  • Predicted margin is UTAH by 9.6.
  • Edge is 1.1 points toward UTAH.
  • Edge 1.1 pts — inside the 1.5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap -12.1; home field +2.5).
  • Moneyline ticket is UTAH, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
  • No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.

Recent form

UTAH

FPI 16.5 · rank 15 · No CFBD row

  1. Wvs USU 33-0 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. Wvs ARK 43-10 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. Wvs IDHO 66-14 · Thu, Sep 3
  4. Wvs NEB 44-22 · Wed, Dec 31
  5. W@ KU 31-21 · Fri, Nov 28

ISU

FPI 4.4 · rank 55 · No CFBD row

  1. Wvs BGSU 55-7 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. L@ IOWA 16-13 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. Wvs SEMO 38-10 · Sat, Sep 5
  4. W@ OKST 20-13 · Sat, Nov 29
  5. Wvs KU 38-14 · Sat, Nov 22

Injuries

no injury feed wired yet

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.

Edge 1.1 pts — inside the 1.5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap -12.1; home field +2.5).

Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.

Parlay deskAdd ML