Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026
The Saturday Slate
Sat, Oct 3 · 6:00pm CT · Amon G. Carter Stadium · Fort Worth, TX6:00pm CT
#9 BYU
BYU Cougars · Big 12 · 3-0 · Away
FPI 15.2 · rank 19 · No CFBD row
-5.5 (-110)
-198
TCU
TCU Horned Frogs · Big 12 · 2-1 · Home
FPI 7.2 · rank 41 · No CFBD row
+5.5 (-110)
+164
Market vs model
Spread
BYU -5.5
TCU +5.5 (-110)
BYU -5.5 (-110)
BYU -5.5 (-110)
Model
BYU -5.5
Edge 0 pts TCU
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
BYU
TCU +164 · BYU -198
Total 52.5 — no O/U pick
Total 52.5 — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
Why
CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.
- TCU rating 7.2, BYU rating 15.2.
- Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
- Home field adds 2.5 to TCU.
- Predicted margin is BYU by 5.5.
- Edge is 0 points toward TCU.
- Edge 0 pts — inside the 1.5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap -8; home field +2.5).
- Moneyline ticket is BYU, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
- No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.
Recent form
BYU
- W@ CSU 41-23 · Sat, Sep 19
- Wvs ARIZ 28-17 · Sat, Sep 12
- Wvs UTU 63-7 · Sat, Sep 5
- Wvs GT 25-21 · Sat, Dec 27
- Lvs TTU 34-7 · Sat, Dec 6
TCU
- Wvs ARST 31-7 · Sat, Sep 19
- Wvs GRAM 63-7 · Sat, Sep 12
- Lvs UNC 15-10 · Sat, Aug 29
- Wvs USC 30-27 OT · Tue, Dec 30
- Wvs CIN 45-23 · Sat, Nov 29
Injuries
no injury feed wired yet
Lock a ticket
Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.
Edge 0 pts — inside the 1.5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap -8; home field +2.5).
Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.