Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026
The Saturday Slate
Sat, Oct 3 · 11:00am CT · TDECU Stadium · Houston, TX · ESPN211:00am CT
UCF
UCF Knights · Big 12 · 2-1 · Away
FPI 4.9 · rank 52 · No CFBD row
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#25 HOU
Houston Cougars · Big 12 · 2-1 · Home
FPI 10.8 · rank 31 · No CFBD row
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Market vs model
Spread
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HOU —
UCF —
UCF —
Model
HOU -8.4
Edge —
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
HOU
HOU — · UCF —
Total — — no O/U pick
Total — — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
Why
CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.
- HOU rating 10.8, UCF rating 4.9.
- Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
- Home field adds 2.5 to HOU.
- Predicted margin is HOU by 8.4.
- There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
- Model home 8.4. No market line yet. (Rating gap 5.9; home field +2.5).
- Moneyline ticket is HOU, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
- No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.
Recent form
UCF
- Wvs GAST 44-30 · Sat, Sep 19
- L@ PITT 12-7 · Sat, Sep 12
- Wvs BCU 73-6 · Thu, Sep 3
- L@ BYU 41-21 · Sat, Nov 29
- Wvs OKST 17-14 · Sat, Nov 22
HOU
- L@ TTU 28-26 · Fri, Sep 18
- Wvs SOU 77-6 · Sat, Sep 12
- Wvs ORST 33-20 · Sat, Sep 5
- Wvs LSU 38-35 · Sat, Dec 27
- W@ BAY 31-24 · Sat, Nov 29
Injuries
no injury feed wired yet
Lock a ticket
Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.
Model home 8.4. No market line yet. (Rating gap 5.9; home field +2.5).
Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.