Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Saturday Slate

← The board
Sat, Oct 3 · 10:00pm CT · Casino Del Sol Stadium · Tucson, AZ · FOX10:00pm CT
CIN
Cincinnati Bearcats · Big 12 · 3-0 · Away
FPI 5.8 · rank 46 · No CFBD row
ARIZ
Arizona Wildcats · Big 12 · 2-1 · Home
FPI 5.9 · rank 45 · No CFBD row

Market vs model

Spread
ARIZ
CIN
Model
ARIZ -2.6
Edge
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
ARIZ
ARIZ · CIN
Total — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket

Why

CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.

  • ARIZ rating 5.9, CIN rating 5.8.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
  • Home field adds 2.5 to ARIZ.
  • Predicted margin is ARIZ by 2.6.
  • There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
  • Model home 2.6. No market line yet. (Rating gap 0.1; home field +2.5).
  • Moneyline ticket is ARIZ, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
  • No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.

Recent form

CIN

FPI 5.8 · rank 46 · No CFBD row

  1. Wvs M-OH 35-31 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. Wvs WCU 62-10 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. Wvs BC 34-15 · Sat, Sep 5
  4. Lvs NAVY 35-13 · Fri, Jan 2
  5. L@ TCU 45-23 · Sat, Nov 29

ARIZ

FPI 5.9 · rank 45 · No CFBD row

  1. Wvs NIU 42-17 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. L@ BYU 28-17 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. Wvs NAU 35-7 · Sat, Sep 5
  4. Lvs SMU 24-19 · Fri, Jan 2
  5. W@ ASU 23-7 · Fri, Nov 28

Injuries

no injury feed wired yet

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.

Model home 2.6. No market line yet. (Rating gap 0.1; home field +2.5).

Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.