Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Saturday Slate

← The board
Sat, Oct 3 · 6:30pm CT · Folsom Field · Boulder, CO · FOX6:30pm CT
#11 TTU
Texas Tech Red Raiders · Big 12 · 3-0 · Away
FPI 15.8 · rank 17 · No CFBD row
COLO
Colorado Buffaloes · Big 12 · 2-1 · Home
FPI -0.7 · rank 70 · No CFBD row

Market vs model

Spread
COLO
TTU
Model
TTU -14
Edge
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
TTU
COLO · TTU
Total — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket

Why

CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.

  • COLO rating -0.7, TTU rating 15.8.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
  • Home field adds 2.5 to COLO.
  • Predicted margin is TTU by 14.
  • There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
  • Model away 14. No market line yet. (Rating gap -16.5; home field +2.5).
  • Moneyline ticket is TTU, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
  • No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.

Recent form

TTU

FPI 15.8 · rank 17 · No CFBD row

  1. Wvs HOU 28-26 · Fri, Sep 18
  2. W@ ORST 35-24 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. Wvs ACU 33-10 · Sat, Sep 5
  4. Lvs ORE 23-0 · Thu, Jan 1
  5. Wvs BYU 34-7 · Sat, Dec 6

COLO

FPI -0.7 · rank 70 · No CFBD row

  1. L@ NU 41-7 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. Wvs WEB 52-21 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. W@ GT 14-13 · Thu, Sep 3
  4. L@ KSU 24-14 · Sat, Nov 29
  5. Lvs ASU 42-17 · Sat, Nov 22

Injuries

no injury feed wired yet

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.

Model away 14. No market line yet. (Rating gap -16.5; home field +2.5).

Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.