Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Saturday Slate

← The board
Fri, Oct 9 · 11:00pm CT · Boone Pickens Stadium · Stillwater, OK11:00pm CT
UCF
UCF Knights · Big 12 · 2-1 · Away
FPI 4.9 · rank 52 · No CFBD row
OKST
Oklahoma State Cowboys · Big 12 · 2-1 · Home
FPI 5 · rank 50 · No CFBD row

Market vs model

Spread
OKST
UCF
Model
OKST -2.6
Edge
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
OKST
OKST · UCF
Total — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket

Why

CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.

  • OKST rating 5, UCF rating 4.9.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
  • Home field adds 2.5 to OKST.
  • Predicted margin is OKST by 2.6.
  • There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
  • Model home 2.6. No market line yet. (Rating gap 0.1; home field +2.5).
  • Moneyline ticket is OKST, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
  • No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.

Recent form

UCF

FPI 4.9 · rank 52 · No CFBD row

  1. Wvs GAST 44-30 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. L@ PITT 12-7 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. Wvs BCU 73-6 · Thu, Sep 3
  4. L@ BYU 41-21 · Sat, Nov 29
  5. Wvs OKST 17-14 · Sat, Nov 22

OKST

FPI 5 · rank 50 · No CFBD row

  1. Wvs MUR 59-0 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. Wvs ORE 39-31 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. L@ TLSA 24-10 · Sat, Sep 5
  4. Lvs ISU 20-13 · Sat, Nov 29
  5. L@ UCF 17-14 · Sat, Nov 22

Injuries

no injury feed wired yet

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.

Model home 2.6. No market line yet. (Rating gap 0.1; home field +2.5).

Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.