Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026
The Saturday Slate
Fri, Oct 9 · 11:00pm CT · Bill Snyder Family Stadium · Manhattan, KS11:00pm CT
#25 HOU
Houston Cougars · Big 12 · 2-1 · Away
FPI 10.8 · rank 31 · No CFBD row
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KSU
Kansas State Wildcats · Big 12 · 3-0 · Home
FPI 11.2 · rank 30 · No CFBD row
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Market vs model
Spread
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KSU —
HOU —
HOU —
Model
KSU -2.9
Edge —
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
KSU
KSU — · HOU —
Total — — no O/U pick
Total — — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
Why
CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.
- KSU rating 11.2, HOU rating 10.8.
- Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
- Home field adds 2.5 to KSU.
- Predicted margin is KSU by 2.9.
- There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
- Model home 2.9. No market line yet. (Rating gap 0.4; home field +2.5).
- Moneyline ticket is KSU, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
- No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.
Recent form
HOU
- L@ TTU 28-26 · Fri, Sep 18
- Wvs SOU 77-6 · Sat, Sep 12
- Wvs ORST 33-20 · Sat, Sep 5
- Wvs LSU 38-35 · Sat, Dec 27
- W@ BAY 31-24 · Sat, Nov 29
KSU
- Wvs TULN 31-20 · Sat, Sep 19
- Wvs WSU 34-7 · Sat, Sep 12
- Wvs NICH 71-3 · Sat, Sep 5
- Wvs COLO 24-14 · Sat, Nov 29
- L@ UTAH 51-47 · Sat, Nov 22
Injuries
no injury feed wired yet
Lock a ticket
Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.
Model home 2.9. No market line yet. (Rating gap 0.4; home field +2.5).
Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.