Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026
The Saturday Slate
Fri, Oct 16 · 11:00pm CT · Galaxy Stadium · Lubbock, TX11:00pm CT
ASU
Arizona State Sun Devils · Big 12 · 2-1 · Away
FPI 3.8 · rank 58 · No CFBD row
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#11 TTU
Texas Tech Red Raiders · Big 12 · 3-0 · Home
FPI 15.8 · rank 17 · No CFBD row
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Market vs model
Spread
—
TTU —
ASU —
ASU —
Model
TTU -14.5
Edge —
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
TTU
TTU — · ASU —
Total — — no O/U pick
Total — — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
Why
CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.
- TTU rating 15.8, ASU rating 3.8.
- Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
- Home field adds 2.5 to TTU.
- Predicted margin is TTU by 14.5.
- There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
- Model home 14.5. No market line yet. (Rating gap 12; home field +2.5).
- Moneyline ticket is TTU, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
- No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.
Recent form
ASU
- Wvs KU 24-17 · Sat, Sep 19
- L@ TA&M 48-20 · Sat, Sep 12
- Wvs MORG 70-7 · Sat, Sep 5
- Lvs DUKE 42-39 · Wed, Dec 31
- Lvs ARIZ 23-7 · Fri, Nov 28
TTU
- Wvs HOU 28-26 · Fri, Sep 18
- W@ ORST 35-24 · Sat, Sep 12
- Wvs ACU 33-10 · Sat, Sep 5
- Lvs ORE 23-0 · Thu, Jan 1
- Wvs BYU 34-7 · Sat, Dec 6
Injuries
no injury feed wired yet
Lock a ticket
Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.
Model home 14.5. No market line yet. (Rating gap 12; home field +2.5).
Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.