Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Saturday Slate

← The board
Fri, Oct 16 · 11:00pm CT · Bill Snyder Family Stadium · Manhattan, KS11:00pm CT
KU
Kansas Jayhawks · Big 12 · 1-2 · Away
FPI -0.1 · rank 67 · No CFBD row
+7.5 (-112)
+235
KSU
Kansas State Wildcats · Big 12 · 3-0 · Home
FPI 11.2 · rank 30 · No CFBD row
-7.5 (-108)
-290

Market vs model

Spread
KSU -7.5
KSU -7.5 (-108)
KU +7.5 (-112)
Model
KSU -13.8
Edge 6.3 pts KSU
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
KSU
KSU -290 · KU +235
Total 54.5 — no O/U pick
CallStrong

Number from DraftKings, via ESPN.

Why

CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.

  • KSU rating 11.2, KU rating -0.1.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
  • Home field adds 2.5 to KSU.
  • Predicted margin is KSU by 13.8.
  • Edge is 6.3 points toward KSU.
  • Edge 6.3 pts vs the posted number. (Rating gap 11.3; home field +2.5).
  • Moneyline ticket is KSU, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
  • No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.

Recent form

KU

FPI -0.1 · rank 67 · No CFBD row

  1. Lvs ASU 24-17 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. Lvs MIZ 38-21 · Fri, Sep 11
  3. Wvs LIU 51-6 · Fri, Sep 4
  4. Lvs UTAH 31-21 · Fri, Nov 28
  5. L@ ISU 38-14 · Sat, Nov 22

KSU

FPI 11.2 · rank 30 · No CFBD row

  1. Wvs TULN 31-20 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. Wvs WSU 34-7 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. Wvs NICH 71-3 · Sat, Sep 5
  4. Wvs COLO 24-14 · Sat, Nov 29
  5. L@ UTAH 51-47 · Sat, Nov 22

Injuries

no injury feed wired yet

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.

Writes this spread into the ledger. Closing-line value stays blank.

Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.