Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026
The Saturday Slate
Fri, Oct 16 · 11:00pm CT · McLane Stadium · Waco, TX11:00pm CT
TCU
TCU Horned Frogs · Big 12 · 2-1 · Away
FPI 7.2 · rank 41 · No CFBD row
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BAY
Baylor Bears · Big 12 · 2-1 · Home
FPI 8.1 · rank 38 · No CFBD row
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Market vs model
Spread
—
BAY —
TCU —
TCU —
Model
BAY -3.4
Edge —
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
BAY
BAY — · TCU —
Total — — no O/U pick
Total — — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
Why
CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.
- BAY rating 8.1, TCU rating 7.2.
- Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
- Home field adds 2.5 to BAY.
- Predicted margin is BAY by 3.4.
- There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
- Model home 3.4. No market line yet. (Rating gap 0.9; home field +2.5).
- Moneyline ticket is BAY, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
- No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.
Recent form
TCU
- Wvs ARST 31-7 · Sat, Sep 19
- Wvs GRAM 63-7 · Sat, Sep 12
- Lvs UNC 15-10 · Sat, Aug 29
- Wvs USC 30-27 OT · Tue, Dec 30
- Wvs CIN 45-23 · Sat, Nov 29
BAY
- Wvs LT 36-19 · Sat, Sep 19
- Wvs PV 44-3 · Sat, Sep 12
- Lvs AUB 17-16 · Sat, Sep 5
- Lvs HOU 31-24 · Sat, Nov 29
- L@ ARIZ 41-17 · Sat, Nov 22
Injuries
no injury feed wired yet
Lock a ticket
Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.
Model home 3.4. No market line yet. (Rating gap 0.9; home field +2.5).
Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.