Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Saturday Slate

← The board
Fri, Oct 23 · 11:00pm CT · Acrisure Bounce House · Orlando, FL11:00pm CT
#9 BYU
BYU Cougars · Big 12 · 3-0 · Away
FPI 15.2 · rank 19 · No CFBD row
UCF
UCF Knights · Big 12 · 2-1 · Home
FPI 4.9 · rank 52 · No CFBD row

Market vs model

Spread
UCF
BYU
Model
BYU -7.8
Edge
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
BYU
UCF · BYU
Total — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket

Why

CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.

  • UCF rating 4.9, BYU rating 15.2.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
  • Home field adds 2.5 to UCF.
  • Predicted margin is BYU by 7.8.
  • There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
  • Model away 7.8. No market line yet. (Rating gap -10.3; home field +2.5).
  • Moneyline ticket is BYU, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
  • No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.

Recent form

BYU

FPI 15.2 · rank 19 · No CFBD row

  1. W@ CSU 41-23 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. Wvs ARIZ 28-17 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. Wvs UTU 63-7 · Sat, Sep 5
  4. Wvs GT 25-21 · Sat, Dec 27
  5. Lvs TTU 34-7 · Sat, Dec 6

UCF

FPI 4.9 · rank 52 · No CFBD row

  1. Wvs GAST 44-30 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. L@ PITT 12-7 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. Wvs BCU 73-6 · Thu, Sep 3
  4. L@ BYU 41-21 · Sat, Nov 29
  5. Wvs OKST 17-14 · Sat, Nov 22

Injuries

no injury feed wired yet

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.

Model away 7.8. No market line yet. (Rating gap -10.3; home field +2.5).

Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.