Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Saturday Slate

← The board
Fri, Oct 23 · 11:00pm CT · Rice-Eccles Stadium · Salt Lake City, UT11:00pm CT
#25 HOU
Houston Cougars · Big 12 · 2-1 · Away
FPI 10.8 · rank 31 · No CFBD row
+6.5 (-112)
+210
#15 UTAH
Utah Utes · Big 12 · 3-0 · Home
FPI 16.5 · rank 15 · No CFBD row
-6.5 (-108)
-258

Market vs model

Spread
UTAH -6.5
UTAH -6.5 (-108)
HOU +6.5 (-112)
Model
UTAH -8.2
Edge 1.7 pts UTAH
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
UTAH
UTAH -258 · HOU +210
Total 50.5 — no O/U pick
CallLean

Number from DraftKings, via ESPN.

Why

CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.

  • UTAH rating 16.5, HOU rating 10.8.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
  • Home field adds 2.5 to UTAH.
  • Predicted margin is UTAH by 8.2.
  • Edge is 1.7 points toward UTAH.
  • Edge 1.7 pts vs the posted number. (Rating gap 5.7; home field +2.5).
  • Moneyline ticket is UTAH, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
  • No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.

Recent form

HOU

FPI 10.8 · rank 31 · No CFBD row

  1. L@ TTU 28-26 · Fri, Sep 18
  2. Wvs SOU 77-6 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. Wvs ORST 33-20 · Sat, Sep 5
  4. Wvs LSU 38-35 · Sat, Dec 27
  5. W@ BAY 31-24 · Sat, Nov 29

UTAH

FPI 16.5 · rank 15 · No CFBD row

  1. Wvs USU 33-0 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. Wvs ARK 43-10 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. Wvs IDHO 66-14 · Thu, Sep 3
  4. Wvs NEB 44-22 · Wed, Dec 31
  5. W@ KU 31-21 · Fri, Nov 28

Injuries

no injury feed wired yet

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.

Writes this spread into the ledger. Closing-line value stays blank.

Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.