Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Saturday Slate

← The board
Fri, Oct 23 · 11:00pm CT · Mountain America Stadium · Tempe, AZ11:00pm CT
KSU
Kansas State Wildcats · Big 12 · 3-0 · Away
FPI 11.2 · rank 30 · No CFBD row
ASU
Arizona State Sun Devils · Big 12 · 2-1 · Home
FPI 3.8 · rank 58 · No CFBD row

Market vs model

Spread
ASU
KSU
Model
KSU -4.9
Edge
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
KSU
ASU · KSU
Total — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket

Why

CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.

  • ASU rating 3.8, KSU rating 11.2.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
  • Home field adds 2.5 to ASU.
  • Predicted margin is KSU by 4.9.
  • There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
  • Model away 4.9. No market line yet. (Rating gap -7.4; home field +2.5).
  • Moneyline ticket is KSU, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
  • No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.

Recent form

KSU

FPI 11.2 · rank 30 · No CFBD row

  1. Wvs TULN 31-20 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. Wvs WSU 34-7 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. Wvs NICH 71-3 · Sat, Sep 5
  4. Wvs COLO 24-14 · Sat, Nov 29
  5. L@ UTAH 51-47 · Sat, Nov 22

ASU

FPI 3.8 · rank 58 · No CFBD row

  1. Wvs KU 24-17 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. L@ TA&M 48-20 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. Wvs MORG 70-7 · Sat, Sep 5
  4. Lvs DUKE 42-39 · Wed, Dec 31
  5. Lvs ARIZ 23-7 · Fri, Nov 28

Injuries

no injury feed wired yet

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.

Model away 4.9. No market line yet. (Rating gap -7.4; home field +2.5).

Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.