Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Saturday Slate

← The board
Fri, Oct 30 · 11:00pm CT · Galaxy Stadium · Lubbock, TX11:00pm CT
ARIZ
Arizona Wildcats · Big 12 · 2-1 · Away
FPI 5.9 · rank 45 · No CFBD row
#11 TTU
Texas Tech Red Raiders · Big 12 · 3-0 · Home
FPI 15.8 · rank 17 · No CFBD row

Market vs model

Spread
TTU
ARIZ
Model
TTU -12.4
Edge
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
TTU
TTU · ARIZ
Total — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket

Why

CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.

  • TTU rating 15.8, ARIZ rating 5.9.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
  • Home field adds 2.5 to TTU.
  • Predicted margin is TTU by 12.4.
  • There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
  • Model home 12.4. No market line yet. (Rating gap 9.9; home field +2.5).
  • Moneyline ticket is TTU, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
  • No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.

Recent form

ARIZ

FPI 5.9 · rank 45 · No CFBD row

  1. Wvs NIU 42-17 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. L@ BYU 28-17 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. Wvs NAU 35-7 · Sat, Sep 5
  4. Lvs SMU 24-19 · Fri, Jan 2
  5. W@ ASU 23-7 · Fri, Nov 28

TTU

FPI 15.8 · rank 17 · No CFBD row

  1. Wvs HOU 28-26 · Fri, Sep 18
  2. W@ ORST 35-24 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. Wvs ACU 33-10 · Sat, Sep 5
  4. Lvs ORE 23-0 · Thu, Jan 1
  5. Wvs BYU 34-7 · Sat, Dec 6

Injuries

no injury feed wired yet

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.

Model home 12.4. No market line yet. (Rating gap 9.9; home field +2.5).

Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.