Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Saturday Slate

← The board
Fri, Oct 30 · 6:30pm CT · Acrisure Bounce House · Orlando, FL · ESPN6:30pm CT
BAY
Baylor Bears · Big 12 · 2-1 · Away
FPI 8.1 · rank 38 · No CFBD row
UCF
UCF Knights · Big 12 · 2-1 · Home
FPI 4.9 · rank 52 · No CFBD row

Market vs model

Spread
UCF
BAY
Model
BAY -0.7
Edge
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
Pass
UCF · BAY
Total — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket

Why

CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.

  • UCF rating 4.9, BAY rating 8.1.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
  • Home field adds 2.5 to UCF.
  • Predicted margin is BAY by 0.7.
  • There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
  • Model away 0.7. No market line yet. (Rating gap -3.2; home field +2.5).
  • Moneyline is a pass — the predicted margin is inside 2 points.
  • No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.

Recent form

BAY

FPI 8.1 · rank 38 · No CFBD row

  1. Wvs LT 36-19 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. Wvs PV 44-3 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. Lvs AUB 17-16 · Sat, Sep 5
  4. Lvs HOU 31-24 · Sat, Nov 29
  5. L@ ARIZ 41-17 · Sat, Nov 22

UCF

FPI 4.9 · rank 52 · No CFBD row

  1. Wvs GAST 44-30 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. L@ PITT 12-7 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. Wvs BCU 73-6 · Thu, Sep 3
  4. L@ BYU 41-21 · Sat, Nov 29
  5. Wvs OKST 17-14 · Sat, Nov 22

Injuries

no injury feed wired yet

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.

Model away 0.7. No market line yet. (Rating gap -3.2; home field +2.5).

No moneyline ticket — predicted margin is inside 2 points.