Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Saturday Slate

← The board
Fri, Nov 6 · 11:00pm CT · David Booth Kansas Memorial Stadium · Lawrence, KS11:00pm CT
UCF
UCF Knights · Big 12 · 2-1 · Away
FPI 4.9 · rank 52 · No CFBD row
KU
Kansas Jayhawks · Big 12 · 1-2 · Home
FPI -0.1 · rank 67 · No CFBD row

Market vs model

Spread
KU
UCF
Model
UCF -2.5
Edge
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
UCF
KU · UCF
Total — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket

Why

CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.

  • KU rating -0.1, UCF rating 4.9.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
  • Home field adds 2.5 to KU.
  • Predicted margin is UCF by 2.5.
  • There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
  • Model away 2.5. No market line yet. (Rating gap -5; home field +2.5).
  • Moneyline ticket is UCF, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
  • No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.

Recent form

UCF

FPI 4.9 · rank 52 · No CFBD row

  1. Wvs GAST 44-30 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. L@ PITT 12-7 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. Wvs BCU 73-6 · Thu, Sep 3
  4. L@ BYU 41-21 · Sat, Nov 29
  5. Wvs OKST 17-14 · Sat, Nov 22

KU

FPI -0.1 · rank 67 · No CFBD row

  1. Lvs ASU 24-17 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. Lvs MIZ 38-21 · Fri, Sep 11
  3. Wvs LIU 51-6 · Fri, Sep 4
  4. Lvs UTAH 31-21 · Fri, Nov 28
  5. L@ ISU 38-14 · Sat, Nov 22

Injuries

no injury feed wired yet

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.

Model away 2.5. No market line yet. (Rating gap -5; home field +2.5).

Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.