Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Saturday Slate

← The board
Fri, Nov 6 · 11:00pm CT · TDECU Stadium · Houston, TX11:00pm CT
CIN
Cincinnati Bearcats · Big 12 · 3-0 · Away
FPI 5.8 · rank 46 · No CFBD row
#25 HOU
Houston Cougars · Big 12 · 2-1 · Home
FPI 10.8 · rank 31 · No CFBD row

Market vs model

Spread
HOU
CIN
Model
HOU -7.5
Edge
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
HOU
HOU · CIN
Total — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket

Why

CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.

  • HOU rating 10.8, CIN rating 5.8.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
  • Home field adds 2.5 to HOU.
  • Predicted margin is HOU by 7.5.
  • There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
  • Model home 7.5. No market line yet. (Rating gap 5; home field +2.5).
  • Moneyline ticket is HOU, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
  • No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.

Recent form

CIN

FPI 5.8 · rank 46 · No CFBD row

  1. Wvs M-OH 35-31 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. Wvs WCU 62-10 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. Wvs BC 34-15 · Sat, Sep 5
  4. Lvs NAVY 35-13 · Fri, Jan 2
  5. L@ TCU 45-23 · Sat, Nov 29

HOU

FPI 10.8 · rank 31 · No CFBD row

  1. L@ TTU 28-26 · Fri, Sep 18
  2. Wvs SOU 77-6 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. Wvs ORST 33-20 · Sat, Sep 5
  4. Wvs LSU 38-35 · Sat, Dec 27
  5. W@ BAY 31-24 · Sat, Nov 29

Injuries

no injury feed wired yet

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.

Model home 7.5. No market line yet. (Rating gap 5; home field +2.5).

Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.