Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Saturday Slate

← The board
Fri, Nov 6 · 11:00pm CT · Bill Snyder Family Stadium · Manhattan, KS11:00pm CT
OKST
Oklahoma State Cowboys · Big 12 · 2-1 · Away
FPI 5 · rank 50 · No CFBD row
KSU
Kansas State Wildcats · Big 12 · 3-0 · Home
FPI 11.2 · rank 30 · No CFBD row

Market vs model

Spread
KSU
OKST
Model
KSU -8.7
Edge
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
KSU
KSU · OKST
Total — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket

Why

CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.

  • KSU rating 11.2, OKST rating 5.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
  • Home field adds 2.5 to KSU.
  • Predicted margin is KSU by 8.7.
  • There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
  • Model home 8.7. No market line yet. (Rating gap 6.2; home field +2.5).
  • Moneyline ticket is KSU, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
  • No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.

Recent form

OKST

FPI 5 · rank 50 · No CFBD row

  1. Wvs MUR 59-0 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. Wvs ORE 39-31 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. L@ TLSA 24-10 · Sat, Sep 5
  4. Lvs ISU 20-13 · Sat, Nov 29
  5. L@ UCF 17-14 · Sat, Nov 22

KSU

FPI 11.2 · rank 30 · No CFBD row

  1. Wvs TULN 31-20 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. Wvs WSU 34-7 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. Wvs NICH 71-3 · Sat, Sep 5
  4. Wvs COLO 24-14 · Sat, Nov 29
  5. L@ UTAH 51-47 · Sat, Nov 22

Injuries

no injury feed wired yet

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.

Model home 8.7. No market line yet. (Rating gap 6.2; home field +2.5).

Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.