Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Saturday Slate

← The board
Fri, Nov 6 · 9:15pm CT · Casino Del Sol Stadium · Tucson, AZ · ESPN9:15pm CT
TCU
TCU Horned Frogs · Big 12 · 2-1 · Away
FPI 7.2 · rank 41 · No CFBD row
ARIZ
Arizona Wildcats · Big 12 · 2-1 · Home
FPI 5.9 · rank 45 · No CFBD row

Market vs model

Spread
ARIZ
TCU
Model
ARIZ -1.2
Edge
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
Pass
ARIZ · TCU
Total — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket

Why

CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.

  • ARIZ rating 5.9, TCU rating 7.2.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
  • Home field adds 2.5 to ARIZ.
  • Predicted margin is ARIZ by 1.2.
  • There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
  • Model home 1.2. No market line yet. (Rating gap -1.3; home field +2.5).
  • Moneyline is a pass — the predicted margin is inside 2 points.
  • No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.

Recent form

TCU

FPI 7.2 · rank 41 · No CFBD row

  1. Wvs ARST 31-7 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. Wvs GRAM 63-7 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. Lvs UNC 15-10 · Sat, Aug 29
  4. Wvs USC 30-27 OT · Tue, Dec 30
  5. Wvs CIN 45-23 · Sat, Nov 29

ARIZ

FPI 5.9 · rank 45 · No CFBD row

  1. Wvs NIU 42-17 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. L@ BYU 28-17 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. Wvs NAU 35-7 · Sat, Sep 5
  4. Lvs SMU 24-19 · Fri, Jan 2
  5. W@ ASU 23-7 · Fri, Nov 28

Injuries

no injury feed wired yet

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.

Model home 1.2. No market line yet. (Rating gap -1.3; home field +2.5).

No moneyline ticket — predicted margin is inside 2 points.