Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026
The Saturday Slate
Fri, Nov 13 · 11:00pm CT · Acrisure Bounce House · Orlando, FL11:00pm CT
ASU
Arizona State Sun Devils · Big 12 · 2-1 · Away
FPI 3.8 · rank 58 · No CFBD row
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UCF
UCF Knights · Big 12 · 2-1 · Home
FPI 4.9 · rank 52 · No CFBD row
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Market vs model
Spread
—
UCF —
ASU —
ASU —
Model
UCF -3.6
Edge —
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
UCF
UCF — · ASU —
Total — — no O/U pick
Total — — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
Why
CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.
- UCF rating 4.9, ASU rating 3.8.
- Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
- Home field adds 2.5 to UCF.
- Predicted margin is UCF by 3.6.
- There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
- Model home 3.6. No market line yet. (Rating gap 1.1; home field +2.5).
- Moneyline ticket is UCF, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
- No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.
Recent form
ASU
- Wvs KU 24-17 · Sat, Sep 19
- L@ TA&M 48-20 · Sat, Sep 12
- Wvs MORG 70-7 · Sat, Sep 5
- Lvs DUKE 42-39 · Wed, Dec 31
- Lvs ARIZ 23-7 · Fri, Nov 28
UCF
- Wvs GAST 44-30 · Sat, Sep 19
- L@ PITT 12-7 · Sat, Sep 12
- Wvs BCU 73-6 · Thu, Sep 3
- L@ BYU 41-21 · Sat, Nov 29
- Wvs OKST 17-14 · Sat, Nov 22
Injuries
no injury feed wired yet
Lock a ticket
Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.
Model home 3.6. No market line yet. (Rating gap 1.1; home field +2.5).
Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.