Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Saturday Slate

← The board
Fri, Nov 13 · 11:00pm CT · Boone Pickens Stadium · Stillwater, OK11:00pm CT
#11 TTU
Texas Tech Red Raiders · Big 12 · 3-0 · Away
FPI 15.8 · rank 17 · No CFBD row
-15.5 (-105)
-700
OKST
Oklahoma State Cowboys · Big 12 · 2-1 · Home
FPI 5 · rank 50 · No CFBD row
+15.5 (-115)
+500

Market vs model

Spread
TTU -15.5
OKST +15.5 (-115)
TTU -15.5 (-105)
Model
TTU -8.4
Edge 7.1 pts OKST
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
TTU
OKST +500 · TTU -700
Total 61.5 — no O/U pick
CallStrong

Number from DraftKings, via ESPN.

Why

CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.

  • OKST rating 5, TTU rating 15.8.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
  • Home field adds 2.5 to OKST.
  • Predicted margin is TTU by 8.4.
  • Edge is 7.1 points toward OKST.
  • Edge 7.1 pts vs the posted number. (Rating gap -10.9; home field +2.5).
  • Moneyline ticket is TTU, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
  • No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.

Recent form

TTU

FPI 15.8 · rank 17 · No CFBD row

  1. Wvs HOU 28-26 · Fri, Sep 18
  2. W@ ORST 35-24 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. Wvs ACU 33-10 · Sat, Sep 5
  4. Lvs ORE 23-0 · Thu, Jan 1
  5. Wvs BYU 34-7 · Sat, Dec 6

OKST

FPI 5 · rank 50 · No CFBD row

  1. Wvs MUR 59-0 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. Wvs ORE 39-31 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. L@ TLSA 24-10 · Sat, Sep 5
  4. Lvs ISU 20-13 · Sat, Nov 29
  5. L@ UCF 17-14 · Sat, Nov 22

Injuries

no injury feed wired yet

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.

Writes this spread into the ledger. Closing-line value stays blank.

Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.