Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Saturday Slate

← The board
Fri, Nov 20 · 11:00pm CT · Nippert Stadium · Cincinnati, OH11:00pm CT
COLO
Colorado Buffaloes · Big 12 · 2-1 · Away
FPI -0.7 · rank 70 · No CFBD row
CIN
Cincinnati Bearcats · Big 12 · 3-0 · Home
FPI 5.8 · rank 46 · No CFBD row

Market vs model

Spread
CIN
COLO
Model
CIN -9
Edge
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
CIN
CIN · COLO
Total — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket

Why

CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.

  • CIN rating 5.8, COLO rating -0.7.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
  • Home field adds 2.5 to CIN.
  • Predicted margin is CIN by 9.
  • There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
  • Model home 9. No market line yet. (Rating gap 6.5; home field +2.5).
  • Moneyline ticket is CIN, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
  • No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.

Recent form

COLO

FPI -0.7 · rank 70 · No CFBD row

  1. L@ NU 41-7 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. Wvs WEB 52-21 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. W@ GT 14-13 · Thu, Sep 3
  4. L@ KSU 24-14 · Sat, Nov 29
  5. Lvs ASU 42-17 · Sat, Nov 22

CIN

FPI 5.8 · rank 46 · No CFBD row

  1. Wvs M-OH 35-31 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. Wvs WCU 62-10 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. Wvs BC 34-15 · Sat, Sep 5
  4. Lvs NAVY 35-13 · Fri, Jan 2
  5. L@ TCU 45-23 · Sat, Nov 29

Injuries

no injury feed wired yet

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.

Model home 9. No market line yet. (Rating gap 6.5; home field +2.5).

Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.