Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Saturday Slate

← The board
Fri, Nov 20 · 11:00pm CT · Amon G. Carter Stadium · Fort Worth, TX11:00pm CT
#15 UTAH
Utah Utes · Big 12 · 3-0 · Away
FPI 16.5 · rank 15 · No CFBD row
TCU
TCU Horned Frogs · Big 12 · 2-1 · Home
FPI 7.2 · rank 41 · No CFBD row

Market vs model

Spread
TCU
UTAH
Model
UTAH -6.8
Edge
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
UTAH
TCU · UTAH
Total — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket

Why

CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.

  • TCU rating 7.2, UTAH rating 16.5.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
  • Home field adds 2.5 to TCU.
  • Predicted margin is UTAH by 6.8.
  • There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
  • Model away 6.8. No market line yet. (Rating gap -9.3; home field +2.5).
  • Moneyline ticket is UTAH, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
  • No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.

Recent form

UTAH

FPI 16.5 · rank 15 · No CFBD row

  1. Wvs USU 33-0 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. Wvs ARK 43-10 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. Wvs IDHO 66-14 · Thu, Sep 3
  4. Wvs NEB 44-22 · Wed, Dec 31
  5. W@ KU 31-21 · Fri, Nov 28

TCU

FPI 7.2 · rank 41 · No CFBD row

  1. Wvs ARST 31-7 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. Wvs GRAM 63-7 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. Lvs UNC 15-10 · Sat, Aug 29
  4. Wvs USC 30-27 OT · Tue, Dec 30
  5. Wvs CIN 45-23 · Sat, Nov 29

Injuries

no injury feed wired yet

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.

Model away 6.8. No market line yet. (Rating gap -9.3; home field +2.5).

Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.