Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Saturday Slate

← The board
Fri, Nov 27 · 11:00pm CT · Casino Del Sol Stadium · Tucson, AZ11:00pm CT
ASU
Arizona State Sun Devils · Big 12 · 2-1 · Away
FPI 3.8 · rank 58 · No CFBD row
+4.5 (-110)
+180
ARIZ
Arizona Wildcats · Big 12 · 2-1 · Home
FPI 5.9 · rank 45 · No CFBD row
-4.5 (-110)
-218

Market vs model

Spread
ARIZ -4.5
ARIZ -4.5 (-110)
ASU +4.5 (-110)
Model
ARIZ -4.6
Edge 0.1 pts ARIZ
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
ARIZ
ARIZ -218 · ASU +180
Total 52.5 — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket

Number from DraftKings, via ESPN.

Why

CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.

  • ARIZ rating 5.9, ASU rating 3.8.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
  • Home field adds 2.5 to ARIZ.
  • Predicted margin is ARIZ by 4.6.
  • Edge is 0.1 points toward ARIZ.
  • Edge 0.1 pts — inside the 1.5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap 2.1; home field +2.5).
  • Moneyline ticket is ARIZ, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
  • No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.

Recent form

ASU

FPI 3.8 · rank 58 · No CFBD row

  1. Wvs KU 24-17 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. L@ TA&M 48-20 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. Wvs MORG 70-7 · Sat, Sep 5
  4. Lvs DUKE 42-39 · Wed, Dec 31
  5. Lvs ARIZ 23-7 · Fri, Nov 28

ARIZ

FPI 5.9 · rank 45 · No CFBD row

  1. Wvs NIU 42-17 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. L@ BYU 28-17 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. Wvs NAU 35-7 · Sat, Sep 5
  4. Lvs SMU 24-19 · Fri, Jan 2
  5. W@ ASU 23-7 · Fri, Nov 28

Injuries

no injury feed wired yet

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.

Edge 0.1 pts — inside the 1.5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap 2.1; home field +2.5).

Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.