Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026
The Saturday Slate
Fri, Nov 27 · 11:00pm CT · Folsom Field · Boulder, CO11:00pm CT
UCF
UCF Knights · Big 12 · 2-1 · Away
FPI 4.9 · rank 52 · No CFBD row
—
—
COLO
Colorado Buffaloes · Big 12 · 2-1 · Home
FPI -0.7 · rank 70 · No CFBD row
—
—
Market vs model
Spread
—
COLO —
UCF —
UCF —
Model
UCF -3
Edge —
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
UCF
COLO — · UCF —
Total — — no O/U pick
Total — — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
Why
CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.
- COLO rating -0.7, UCF rating 4.9.
- Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
- Home field adds 2.5 to COLO.
- Predicted margin is UCF by 3.
- There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
- Model away 3. No market line yet. (Rating gap -5.5; home field +2.5).
- Moneyline ticket is UCF, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
- No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.
Recent form
UCF
- Wvs GAST 44-30 · Sat, Sep 19
- L@ PITT 12-7 · Sat, Sep 12
- Wvs BCU 73-6 · Thu, Sep 3
- L@ BYU 41-21 · Sat, Nov 29
- Wvs OKST 17-14 · Sat, Nov 22
COLO
- L@ NU 41-7 · Sat, Sep 19
- Wvs WEB 52-21 · Sat, Sep 12
- W@ GT 14-13 · Thu, Sep 3
- L@ KSU 24-14 · Sat, Nov 29
- Lvs ASU 42-17 · Sat, Nov 22
Injuries
no injury feed wired yet
Lock a ticket
Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.
Model away 3. No market line yet. (Rating gap -5.5; home field +2.5).
Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.