Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Saturday Slate

← The board
Fri, Nov 27 · 11:00pm CT · LaVell Edwards Stadium · Provo, UT11:00pm CT
CIN
Cincinnati Bearcats · Big 12 · 3-0 · Away
FPI 5.8 · rank 46 · No CFBD row
#9 BYU
BYU Cougars · Big 12 · 3-0 · Home
FPI 15.2 · rank 19 · No CFBD row

Market vs model

Spread
BYU
CIN
Model
BYU -11.9
Edge
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
BYU
BYU · CIN
Total — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket

Why

CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.

  • BYU rating 15.2, CIN rating 5.8.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
  • Home field adds 2.5 to BYU.
  • Predicted margin is BYU by 11.9.
  • There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
  • Model home 11.9. No market line yet. (Rating gap 9.4; home field +2.5).
  • Moneyline ticket is BYU, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
  • No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.

Recent form

CIN

FPI 5.8 · rank 46 · No CFBD row

  1. Wvs M-OH 35-31 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. Wvs WCU 62-10 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. Wvs BC 34-15 · Sat, Sep 5
  4. Lvs NAVY 35-13 · Fri, Jan 2
  5. L@ TCU 45-23 · Sat, Nov 29

BYU

FPI 15.2 · rank 19 · No CFBD row

  1. W@ CSU 41-23 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. Wvs ARIZ 28-17 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. Wvs UTU 63-7 · Sat, Sep 5
  4. Wvs GT 25-21 · Sat, Dec 27
  5. Lvs TTU 34-7 · Sat, Dec 6

Injuries

no injury feed wired yet

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.

Model home 11.9. No market line yet. (Rating gap 9.4; home field +2.5).

Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.