Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026
The Saturday Slate
Thu, Nov 26 · 7:00pm CT · Galaxy Stadium · Lubbock, TX · ESPN7:00pm CT
TCU
TCU Horned Frogs · Big 12 · 2-1 · Away
FPI 7.2 · rank 41 · No CFBD row
+16.5 (-110)
+625
#11 TTU
Texas Tech Red Raiders · Big 12 · 3-0 · Home
FPI 15.8 · rank 17 · No CFBD row
-16.5 (-110)
-950
Market vs model
Spread
TTU -16.5
TTU -16.5 (-110)
TCU +16.5 (-110)
TCU +16.5 (-110)
Model
TTU -11.1
Edge 5.4 pts TCU
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
TTU
TTU -950 · TCU +625
Total 55.5 — no O/U pick
Total 55.5 — no O/U pick
CallStrong
Why
CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.
- TTU rating 15.8, TCU rating 7.2.
- Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
- Home field adds 2.5 to TTU.
- Predicted margin is TTU by 11.1.
- Edge is 5.4 points toward TCU.
- Edge 5.4 pts vs the posted number. (Rating gap 8.6; home field +2.5).
- Moneyline ticket is TTU, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
- No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.
Recent form
TCU
- Wvs ARST 31-7 · Sat, Sep 19
- Wvs GRAM 63-7 · Sat, Sep 12
- Lvs UNC 15-10 · Sat, Aug 29
- Wvs USC 30-27 OT · Tue, Dec 30
- Wvs CIN 45-23 · Sat, Nov 29
TTU
- Wvs HOU 28-26 · Fri, Sep 18
- W@ ORST 35-24 · Sat, Sep 12
- Wvs ACU 33-10 · Sat, Sep 5
- Lvs ORE 23-0 · Thu, Jan 1
- Wvs BYU 34-7 · Sat, Dec 6
Injuries
no injury feed wired yet
Lock a ticket
Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.
Writes this spread into the ledger. Closing-line value stays blank.
Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.