Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Saturday Slate

← The board
Sat, Sep 26 · 6:00pm CT · Milan Puskar Stadium · Morgantown, WV · FS16:00pm CT
OKST
Oklahoma State Cowboys · Big 12 · 2-1 · Away
FPI 5 · rank 50 · No CFBD row
+1.5 (-108)
+105
WVU
West Virginia Mountaineers · Big 12 · 3-0 · Home
FPI 5.3 · rank 49 · No CFBD row
-1.5 (-112)
-125

Market vs model

Spread
WVU -1.5
WVU -1.5 (-112)
OKST +1.5 (-108)
Model
WVU -2.8
Edge 1.3 pts WVU
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
WVU
WVU -125 · OKST +105
Total 60.5 — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket

Number from DraftKings, via ESPN.

Why

CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.

  • WVU rating 5.3, OKST rating 5.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
  • Home field adds 2.5 to WVU.
  • Predicted margin is WVU by 2.8.
  • Edge is 1.3 points toward WVU.
  • Edge 1.3 pts — inside the 1.5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap 0.3; home field +2.5).
  • Moneyline ticket is WVU, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
  • No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.

Recent form

OKST

FPI 5 · rank 50 · No CFBD row

  1. Wvs MUR 59-0 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. Wvs ORE 39-31 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. L@ TLSA 24-10 · Sat, Sep 5
  4. Lvs ISU 20-13 · Sat, Nov 29
  5. L@ UCF 17-14 · Sat, Nov 22

WVU

FPI 5.3 · rank 49 · No CFBD row

  1. Wvs UVA 38-27 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. Wvs UTM 52-7 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. Wvs CCU 31-24 · Sat, Sep 5
  4. Lvs TTU 49-0 · Sat, Nov 29
  5. L@ ASU 25-23 · Sat, Nov 15

Injuries

no injury feed wired yet

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.

Edge 1.3 pts — inside the 1.5-pt no-bet band. (Rating gap 0.3; home field +2.5).

Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.