Fri, Nov 13 · 11:00pm CT · Donald W. Reynolds Razorback Stadium · Fayetteville, AR11:00pm CT
SC
South Carolina Gamecocks · SEC · 2-1 · Away
FPI 12.1 · rank 27 · No CFBD row
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ARK
Arkansas Razorbacks · SEC · 1-2 · Home
FPI -1.6 · rank 74 · No CFBD row
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Market vs model
Spread
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ARK — SC —
Model
SC -11.2
Edge — Full ratings ESPN FPI only
ML / total
SC
ARK — · SC — Total — — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
Why
CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.
ARK rating -1.6, SC rating 12.1.
Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
Home field adds 2.5 to ARK.
Predicted margin is SC by 11.2.
There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
Model away 11.2. No market line yet. (Rating gap -13.7; home field +2.5).
Moneyline ticket is SC, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.
Recent form
SC
FPI 12.1 · rank 27 · No CFBD row
Lvs MSST 41-34 · Sat, Sep 19
Wvs TOW 45-9 · Sat, Sep 12
Wvs KENT 57-0 · Sat, Sep 5
Lvs CLEM 28-14 · Sat, Nov 29
Wvs CCU 51-7 · Sat, Nov 22
ARK
FPI -1.6 · rank 74 · No CFBD row
Lvs UGA 45-17 · Sat, Sep 19
L@ UTAH 43-10 · Sat, Sep 12
Wvs UNA 31-14 · Sat, Sep 5
Lvs MIZ 31-17 · Sat, Nov 29
L@ TEX 52-37 · Sat, Nov 22
Injuries
no injury feed wired yet
Lock a ticket
Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.
Model away 11.2. No market line yet. (Rating gap -13.7; home field +2.5).
Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.