Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026
The Saturday Slate
Fri, Nov 13 · 11:00pm CT · Kroger Field · Lexington, KY11:00pm CT
#21 FLA
Florida Gators · SEC · 3-0 · Away
FPI 16.4 · rank 16 · No CFBD row
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UK
Kentucky Wildcats · SEC · 2-1 · Home
FPI 8.5 · rank 36 · No CFBD row
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Market vs model
Spread
—
UK —
FLA —
FLA —
Model
FLA -5.4
Edge —
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
FLA
UK — · FLA —
Total — — no O/U pick
Total — — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
Why
CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.
- UK rating 8.5, FLA rating 16.4.
- Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
- Home field adds 2.5 to UK.
- Predicted margin is FLA by 5.4.
- There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
- Model away 5.4. No market line yet. (Rating gap -7.9; home field +2.5).
- Moneyline ticket is FLA, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
- No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.
Recent form
FLA
- W@ AUB 44-39 · Sat, Sep 19
- Wvs CAM 52-3 · Sat, Sep 12
- Wvs FAU 66-21 · Sat, Sep 5
- Wvs FSU 40-21 · Sat, Nov 29
- Lvs TENN 31-11 · Sat, Nov 22
UK
- W@ TA&M 31-21 · Sat, Sep 19
- Lvs ALA 45-17 · Sat, Sep 12
- Wvs YSU 45-13 · Sat, Sep 5
- L@ LOU 41-0 · Sat, Nov 29
- L@ VAN 45-17 · Sat, Nov 22
Injuries
no injury feed wired yet
Lock a ticket
Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.
Model away 5.4. No market line yet. (Rating gap -7.9; home field +2.5).
Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.