Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026
The Saturday Slate
Fri, Nov 13 · 11:00pm CT · Tiger Stadium (LA) · Baton Rouge, LA11:00pm CT
#1 TEX
Texas Longhorns · SEC · 3-0 · Away
FPI 28.1 · rank 2 · No CFBD row
-2.5 (-105)
-142
#10 LSU
LSU Tigers · SEC · 2-1 · Home
FPI 20.3 · rank 8 · No CFBD row
+2.5 (-115)
+120
Market vs model
Spread
TEX -2.5
LSU +2.5 (-115)
TEX -2.5 (-105)
TEX -2.5 (-105)
Model
TEX -5.3
Edge 2.8 pts TEX
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
TEX
LSU +120 · TEX -142
Total 54.5 — no O/U pick
Total 54.5 — no O/U pick
CallLean
Why
CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.
- LSU rating 20.3, TEX rating 28.1.
- Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
- Home field adds 2.5 to LSU.
- Predicted margin is TEX by 5.3.
- Edge is 2.8 points toward TEX.
- Edge 2.8 pts vs the posted number. (Rating gap -7.8; home field +2.5).
- Moneyline ticket is TEX, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
- No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.
Recent form
TEX
- Wvs UTSA 30-6 · Sat, Sep 19
- Wvs OSU 24-23 · Sat, Sep 12
- Wvs TXST 59-7 · Sat, Sep 5
- Wvs MICH 41-27 · Wed, Dec 31
- Wvs TA&M 27-17 · Fri, Nov 28
LSU
- L@ MISS 32-24 · Sat, Sep 19
- Wvs LT 45-14 · Sat, Sep 12
- Wvs CLEM 51-10 · Sat, Sep 5
- Lvs HOU 38-35 · Sat, Dec 27
- L@ OU 17-13 · Sat, Nov 29
Injuries
no injury feed wired yet
Lock a ticket
Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.
Writes this spread into the ledger. Closing-line value stays blank.
Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.