Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026
The Saturday Slate
Fri, Nov 13 · 11:00pm CT · Davis Wade Stadium · Starkville, MS11:00pm CT
AUB
Auburn Tigers · SEC · 2-1 · Away
FPI 12.9 · rank 24 · No CFBD row
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#24 MSST
Mississippi State Bulldogs · SEC · 3-0 · Home
FPI 14.1 · rank 22 · No CFBD row
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Market vs model
Spread
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MSST —
AUB —
AUB —
Model
MSST -3.8
Edge —
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
MSST
MSST — · AUB —
Total — — no O/U pick
Total — — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
Why
CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.
- MSST rating 14.1, AUB rating 12.9.
- Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
- Home field adds 2.5 to MSST.
- Predicted margin is MSST by 3.8.
- There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
- Model home 3.8. No market line yet. (Rating gap 1.3; home field +2.5).
- Moneyline ticket is MSST, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
- No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.
Recent form
AUB
- Lvs FLA 44-39 · Sat, Sep 19
- Wvs USM 43-8 · Sat, Sep 12
- Wvs BAY 17-16 · Sat, Sep 5
- Lvs ALA 27-20 · Sat, Nov 29
- Wvs MER 62-17 · Sat, Nov 22
MSST
- W@ SC 41-34 · Sat, Sep 19
- W@ MINN 38-13 · Sat, Sep 12
- Wvs ULM 62-13 · Sat, Sep 5
- Lvs WAKE 43-29 · Fri, Jan 2
- Lvs MISS 38-19 · Fri, Nov 28
Injuries
no injury feed wired yet
Lock a ticket
Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.
Model home 3.8. No market line yet. (Rating gap 1.3; home field +2.5).
Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.