Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Saturday Slate

← The board
Fri, Nov 13 · 11:00pm CT · Memorial Stadium (Norman, OK) · Norman, OK11:00pm CT
#4 MISS
Ole Miss Rebels · SEC · 3-0 · Away
FPI 17.7 · rank 13 · No CFBD row
+4 (-112)
+164
OU
Oklahoma Sooners · SEC · 2-1 · Home
FPI 16.7 · rank 14 · No CFBD row
-4 (-108)
-198

Market vs model

Spread
OU -4
OU -4 (-108)
MISS +4 (-112)
Model
OU -1.5
Edge 2.5 pts MISS
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
Pass
OU -198 · MISS +164
Total 53.5 — no O/U pick
CallLean

Number from DraftKings, via ESPN.

Why

CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.

  • OU rating 16.7, MISS rating 17.7.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
  • Home field adds 2.5 to OU.
  • Predicted margin is OU by 1.5.
  • Edge is 2.5 points toward MISS.
  • Edge 2.5 pts vs the posted number. (Rating gap -1; home field +2.5).
  • Moneyline is a pass — the predicted margin is inside 2 points.
  • No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.

Recent form

MISS

FPI 17.7 · rank 13 · No CFBD row

  1. Wvs LSU 32-24 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. Wvs CLT 41-9 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. Wvs LOU 41-38 · Sun, Sep 6
  4. Lvs MIA 31-27 · Thu, Jan 8
  5. Wvs UGA 39-34 · Thu, Jan 1

OU

FPI 16.7 · rank 14 · No CFBD row

  1. Wvs UNM 14-6 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. L@ MICH 17-10 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. Wvs UTEP 51-0 · Fri, Sep 4
  4. Lvs ALA 34-24 · Fri, Dec 19
  5. Wvs LSU 17-13 · Sat, Nov 29

Injuries

no injury feed wired yet

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.

Writes this spread into the ledger. Closing-line value stays blank.

No moneyline ticket — predicted margin is inside 2 points.