Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026
The Saturday Slate
Fri, Nov 13 · 11:00pm CT · Kyle Field · College Station, TX11:00pm CT
#14 TENN
Tennessee Volunteers · SEC · 3-0 · Away
FPI 18.5 · rank 10 · No CFBD row
+8.5 (-110)
+285
#23 TA&M
Texas A&M Aggies · SEC · 2-1 · Home
FPI 18.2 · rank 11 · No CFBD row
-8.5 (-110)
-360
Market vs model
Spread
TA&M -8.5
TA&M -8.5 (-110)
TENN +8.5 (-110)
TENN +8.5 (-110)
Model
TA&M -2.2
Edge 6.3 pts TENN
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
TA&M
TA&M -360 · TENN +285
Total 55.5 — no O/U pick
Total 55.5 — no O/U pick
CallStrong
Why
CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.
- TA&M rating 18.2, TENN rating 18.5.
- Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
- Home field adds 2.5 to TA&M.
- Predicted margin is TA&M by 2.2.
- Edge is 6.3 points toward TENN.
- Edge 6.3 pts vs the posted number. (Rating gap -0.3; home field +2.5).
- Moneyline ticket is TA&M, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
- No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.
Recent form
TENN
- Wvs KENN 42-9 · Sat, Sep 19
- W@ GT 45-24 · Sat, Sep 12
- Wvs FUR 56-9 · Sat, Sep 5
- Lvs ILL 30-28 · Tue, Dec 30
- Lvs VAN 45-24 · Sat, Nov 29
TA&M
- Lvs UK 31-21 · Sat, Sep 19
- Wvs ASU 48-20 · Sat, Sep 12
- Wvs MOST 50-0 · Sat, Sep 5
- Lvs MIA 10-3 · Sat, Dec 20
- L@ TEX 27-17 · Fri, Nov 28
Injuries
no injury feed wired yet
Lock a ticket
Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.
Writes this spread into the ledger. Closing-line value stays blank.
Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.