Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Saturday Slate

← The board
Fri, Nov 13 · 11:00pm CT · FirstBank Stadium · Nashville, TN11:00pm CT
#8 ALA
Alabama Crimson Tide · SEC · 3-0 · Away
FPI 22.3 · rank 7 · No CFBD row
VAN
Vanderbilt Commodores · SEC · 3-0 · Home
FPI 6.1 · rank 43 · No CFBD row

Market vs model

Spread
VAN
ALA
Model
ALA -13.7
Edge
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
ALA
VAN · ALA
Total — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket

Why

CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.

  • VAN rating 6.1, ALA rating 22.3.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
  • Home field adds 2.5 to VAN.
  • Predicted margin is ALA by 13.7.
  • There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
  • Model away 13.7. No market line yet. (Rating gap -16.2; home field +2.5).
  • Moneyline ticket is ALA, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
  • No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.

Recent form

ALA

FPI 22.3 · rank 7 · No CFBD row

  1. Wvs FSU 50-36 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. W@ UK 45-17 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. Wvs ECU 48-10 · Sat, Sep 5
  4. Lvs IU 38-3 · Thu, Jan 1
  5. W@ OU 34-24 · Fri, Dec 19

VAN

FPI 6.1 · rank 43 · No CFBD row

  1. Wvs NCSU 35-31 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. Wvs DEL 35-26 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. Wvs APSU 28-9 · Sat, Sep 5
  4. Lvs IOWA 34-27 · Wed, Dec 31
  5. W@ TENN 45-24 · Sat, Nov 29

Injuries

no injury feed wired yet

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.

Model away 13.7. No market line yet. (Rating gap -16.2; home field +2.5).

Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.