Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026
The Saturday Slate
Sat, Aug 29 · 6:00pm CT · Stanford Stadium · Stanford, CA · ACC NetworkFinal
HAW
Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors · Mountain West · 0-1 · Away
FPI -8.5 · rank 106 · No CFBD row
+4.5 (-110)
+170
STAN
Stanford Cardinal · ACC · 1-0 · Home
FPI -7.9 · rank 102 · No CFBD row
-4.5 (-110)
-205
Market vs model
Spread
STAN -4.5
STAN -4.5 (-110)
HAW +4.5 (-110)
HAW +4.5 (-110)
Model
STAN -3.1
Edge —
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
STAN
STAN -205 · HAW +170
Total 48.5 — no O/U pick
Total 48.5 — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
ML win
Why
CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.
- STAN rating -7.9, HAW rating -8.5.
- Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
- Home field adds 2.5 to STAN.
- Predicted margin is STAN by 3.1.
- There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
- Model home 3.1. No market line yet. (Rating gap 0.6; home field +2.5).
- Moneyline ticket is STAN, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
- No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.
Recent form
HAW
ESPN did not send a recent-form list.
STAN
ESPN did not send a recent-form list.
Injuries
no injury feed wired yet
Lock a ticket
Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.
Model home 3.1. No market line yet. (Rating gap 0.6; home field +2.5).
Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.