Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026
The Saturday Slate
Sat, Aug 29 · 2:30pm CT · Scott Stadium · Charlottesville, VA · ESPNFinal
NCSU
NC State Wolfpack · ACC · 0-1 · Away
FPI 2 · rank 61 · No CFBD row
+4 (-112)
+145
UVA
Virginia Cavaliers · ACC · 1-0 · Home
FPI 9.2 · rank 34 · No CFBD row
-4 (-108)
-175
Market vs model
Spread
UVA -4
UVA -4 (-108)
NCSU +4 (-112)
NCSU +4 (-112)
Model
UVA -9.7
Edge —
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
UVA
UVA -175 · NCSU +145
Total 50.5 — no O/U pick
Total 50.5 — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
ML win
Why
CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.
- UVA rating 9.2, NCSU rating 2.
- Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
- Home field adds 2.5 to UVA.
- Predicted margin is UVA by 9.7.
- There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
- Model home 9.7. No market line yet. (Rating gap 7.2; home field +2.5).
- Moneyline ticket is UVA, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
- No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.
Recent form
NCSU
ESPN did not send a recent-form list.
UVA
ESPN did not send a recent-form list.
Injuries
no injury feed wired yet
Lock a ticket
Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.
Model home 9.7. No market line yet. (Rating gap 7.2; home field +2.5).
Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.