Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Saturday Slate

← The board
Thu, Sep 3 · 6:00pm CT · Allegacy Federal Credit Union Stadium · Winston-Salem, NC · ACC NetworkFinal
AKR
Akron Zips · MAC · 0-1 · Away
FPI -17.9 · rank 130 · No CFBD row
+27.5 (-105)
+1500
WAKE
Wake Forest Demon Deacons · ACC · 1-0 · Home
FPI 4.6 · rank 54 · No CFBD row
-27.5 (-115)
-3600

Market vs model

Spread
WAKE -27.5
WAKE -27.5 (-115)
AKR +27.5 (-105)
Model
WAKE -25
Edge
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
WAKE
WAKE -3600 · AKR +1500
Total 50.5 — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
ML win

Number from DraftKings, via ESPN.

Why

CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.

  • WAKE rating 4.6, AKR rating -17.9.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
  • Home field adds 2.5 to WAKE.
  • Predicted margin is WAKE by 25.
  • There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
  • Model home 25. No market line yet. (Rating gap 22.5; home field +2.5).
  • Moneyline ticket is WAKE, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
  • No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.

Recent form

AKR

FPI -17.9 · rank 130 · No CFBD row

ESPN did not send a recent-form list.

WAKE

FPI 4.6 · rank 54 · No CFBD row

ESPN did not send a recent-form list.

Injuries

no injury feed wired yet

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.

Model home 25. No market line yet. (Rating gap 22.5; home field +2.5).

Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.