Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026
The Saturday Slate
Fri, Sep 4 · 8:00pm CT · Stanford Stadium · Stanford, CA · ESPNFinal
#6 MIA
Miami Hurricanes · ACC · 1-0 · Away
FPI 23.9 · rank 6 · No CFBD row
-24.5 (-108)
-4000
STAN
Stanford Cardinal · ACC · 1-1 · Home
FPI -7.9 · rank 102 · No CFBD row
+24.5 (-112)
+1600
Market vs model
Spread
MIA -24.5
STAN +24.5 (-112)
MIA -24.5 (-108)
MIA -24.5 (-108)
Model
MIA -29.3
Edge —
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
MIA
STAN +1600 · MIA -4000
Total 46.5 — no O/U pick
Total 46.5 — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
ML win
Why
CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.
- STAN rating -7.9, MIA rating 23.9.
- Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
- Home field adds 2.5 to STAN.
- Predicted margin is MIA by 29.3.
- There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
- Model away 29.3. No market line yet. (Rating gap -31.8; home field +2.5).
- Moneyline ticket is MIA, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
- No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.
Recent form
MIA
ESPN did not send a recent-form list.
STAN
ESPN did not send a recent-form list.
Injuries
no injury feed wired yet
Lock a ticket
Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.
Model away 29.3. No market line yet. (Rating gap -31.8; home field +2.5).
Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.