Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Saturday Slate

← The board
Sat, Sep 5 · 11:30am CT · Acrisure Stadium · Pittsburgh, PA · CWFinal
M-OH
Miami (OH) RedHawks · MAC · 0-1 · Away
FPI -8.4 · rank 104 · No CFBD row
+16.5 (-110)
+575
PITT
Pittsburgh Panthers · ACC · 1-0 · Home
FPI 12.3 · rank 25 · No CFBD row
-16.5 (-110)
-850

Market vs model

Spread
PITT -16.5
PITT -16.5 (-110)
M-OH +16.5 (-110)
Model
PITT -23.3
Edge
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
PITT
PITT -850 · M-OH +575
Total 47.5 — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
ML win

Number from DraftKings, via ESPN.

Why

CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.

  • PITT rating 12.3, M-OH rating -8.4.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
  • Home field adds 2.5 to PITT.
  • Predicted margin is PITT by 23.3.
  • There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
  • Model home 23.3. No market line yet. (Rating gap 20.8; home field +2.5).
  • Moneyline ticket is PITT, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
  • No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.

Recent form

M-OH

FPI -8.4 · rank 104 · No CFBD row

ESPN did not send a recent-form list.

PITT

FPI 12.3 · rank 25 · No CFBD row

ESPN did not send a recent-form list.

Injuries

no injury feed wired yet

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.

Model home 23.3. No market line yet. (Rating gap 20.8; home field +2.5).

Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.