Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Saturday Slate

← The board
Sat, Sep 5 · 6:30pm CT · Lane Stadium · Blacksburg, VA · ACC NetworkFinal
VMI
VMI Keydets · 0-2 · Away
No FPI row · No CFBD row
+54.5 (-112)
VT
Virginia Tech Hokies · ACC · 1-0 · Home
FPI 11.6 · rank 29 · No CFBD row
-54.5 (-108)

Market vs model

Spread
VT -54.5
VT -54.5 (-108)
VMI +54.5 (-112)
Model
VT -26.1
Edge
Thin data
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
VT
VT · VMI
Total 60.5 — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
ML win

Number from DraftKings, via ESPN.

Why

CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.

  • VT rating 11.6, VMI rating -12.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
  • Home field adds 2.5 to VT.
  • Predicted margin is VT by 26.1.
  • There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
  • Model home 26.1. No market line yet. (Rating gap 23.6; home field +2.5; FCS placeholder -12).
  • Moneyline ticket is VT, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
  • No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.

Recent form

VMI

No FPI row · No CFBD row

ESPN did not send a recent-form list.

VT

FPI 11.6 · rank 29 · No CFBD row

ESPN did not send a recent-form list.

Injuries

no injury feed wired yet

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.

Model home 26.1. No market line yet. (Rating gap 23.6; home field +2.5; FCS placeholder -12).

Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.