Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Saturday Slate

← The board
Fri, Sep 11 · 6:30pm CT · Alumni Stadium (Chestnut Hill, MA) · Chestnut Hill, MA · ESPN2Final
RUTG
Rutgers Scarlet Knights · Big Ten · 0-2 · Away
FPI -5.6 · rank 90 · No CFBD row
+3 (-118)
+124
BC
Boston College Eagles · ACC · 1-1 · Home
FPI -5.8 · rank 91 · No CFBD row
-3 (-102)
-148

Market vs model

Spread
BC -3
BC -3 (-102)
RUTG +3 (-118)
Model
BC -2.3
Edge
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
BC
BC -148 · RUTG +124
Total 53.5 — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
ML win

Number from DraftKings, via ESPN.

Why

CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.

  • BC rating -5.8, RUTG rating -5.6.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
  • Home field adds 2.5 to BC.
  • Predicted margin is BC by 2.3.
  • There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
  • Model home 2.3. No market line yet. (Rating gap -0.2; home field +2.5).
  • Moneyline ticket is BC, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
  • No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.

Recent form

RUTG

FPI -5.6 · rank 90 · No CFBD row

ESPN did not send a recent-form list.

BC

FPI -5.8 · rank 91 · No CFBD row

ESPN did not send a recent-form list.

Injuries

no injury feed wired yet

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.

Model home 2.3. No market line yet. (Rating gap -0.2; home field +2.5).

Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.