Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026
The Saturday Slate
Fri, Sep 11 · 6:00pm CT · L&N Federal Credit Union Stadium · Louisville, KY · ACC NetworkFinal
VILL
Villanova Wildcats · 1-2 · Away
No FPI row · No CFBD row
+39.5 (-108)
—
#16 LOU
Louisville Cardinals · ACC · 1-1 · Home
FPI 13.9 · rank 23 · No CFBD row
-39.5 (-112)
—
Market vs model
Spread
LOU -39.5
LOU -39.5 (-112)
VILL +39.5 (-108)
VILL +39.5 (-108)
Model
LOU -28.4
Edge —
Thin data
ESPN FPI only
Thin data
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
LOU
LOU — · VILL —
Total 56.5 — no O/U pick
Total 56.5 — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
ML win
Why
CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.
- LOU rating 13.9, VILL rating -12.
- Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
- Home field adds 2.5 to LOU.
- Predicted margin is LOU by 28.4.
- There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
- Model home 28.4. No market line yet. (Rating gap 25.9; home field +2.5; FCS placeholder -12).
- Moneyline ticket is LOU, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
- No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.
Recent form
VILL
ESPN did not send a recent-form list.
LOU
ESPN did not send a recent-form list.
Injuries
no injury feed wired yet
Lock a ticket
Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.
Model home 28.4. No market line yet. (Rating gap 25.9; home field +2.5; FCS placeholder -12).
Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.