Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Saturday Slate

CollegeNFL
← The board
Sat, Sep 12 · 2:30pm CT · Gies Memorial Stadium · Champaign, IL · FS1Final
DUKE
Duke Blue Devils · ACC · 2-0 · Away
FPI 9.1 · rank 35 · No CFBD row
+6 (-105)
+205
ILL
Illinois Fighting Illini · Big Ten · 1-1 · Home
FPI 6 · rank 44 · No CFBD row
-6 (-115)
-250

Market vs model

Spread
ILL -6
ILL -6 (-115)
DUKE +6 (-105)
Model
DUKE -0.7
Edge —
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
Pass
ILL -250 · DUKE +205
Total 51.5 — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket

Number from DraftKings, via ESPN.

Why

CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.

  • ILL rating 6, DUKE rating 9.1.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
  • Home field adds 2.5 to ILL.
  • Predicted margin is DUKE by 0.7.
  • There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
  • Model away 0.7. No market line yet. (Rating gap -3.2; home field +2.5).
  • Moneyline is a pass — the predicted margin is inside 2 points.
  • No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.

Recent form

DUKE

FPI 9.1 · rank 35 · No CFBD row

ESPN did not send a recent-form list.

ILL

FPI 6 · rank 44 · No CFBD row

ESPN did not send a recent-form list.

Injuries

no injury feed wired yet

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.

Model away 0.7. No market line yet. (Rating gap -3.2; home field +2.5).

No moneyline ticket — predicted margin is inside 2 points.