Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026
The Saturday Slate
Fri, Sep 11 · 6:00pm CT · Scott Stadium · Charlottesville, VA · ACCNXFinal
NORF
Norfolk State Spartans · 1-2 · Away
No FPI row · No CFBD row
+47.5 (-108)
—
#25 UVA
Virginia Cavaliers · ACC · 2-0 · Home
FPI 9.2 · rank 34 · No CFBD row
-47.5 (-112)
—
Market vs model
Spread
UVA -47.5
UVA -47.5 (-112)
NORF +47.5 (-108)
NORF +47.5 (-108)
Model
UVA -23.7
Edge —
Thin data
ESPN FPI only
Thin data
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
UVA
UVA — · NORF —
Total 56.5 — no O/U pick
Total 56.5 — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
ML win
Why
CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.
- UVA rating 9.2, NORF rating -12.
- Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
- Home field adds 2.5 to UVA.
- Predicted margin is UVA by 23.7.
- There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
- Model home 23.7. No market line yet. (Rating gap 21.2; home field +2.5; FCS placeholder -12).
- Moneyline ticket is UVA, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
- No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.
Recent form
NORF
ESPN did not send a recent-form list.
UVA
ESPN did not send a recent-form list.
Injuries
no injury feed wired yet
Lock a ticket
Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.
Model home 23.7. No market line yet. (Rating gap 21.2; home field +2.5; FCS placeholder -12).
Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.