Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026
The Saturday Slate
Sat, Sep 12 · 11:00am CT · Ross-Ade Stadium · West Lafayette, IN · FS1Final/2OT
WAKE
Wake Forest Demon Deacons · ACC · 2-0 · Away
FPI 4.6 · rank 54 · No CFBD row
-2.5 (-118)
-142
PUR
Purdue Boilermakers · Big Ten · 1-1 · Home
FPI -1.6 · rank 75 · No CFBD row
+2.5 (-102)
+120
Market vs model
Spread
WAKE -2.5
PUR +2.5 (-102)
WAKE -2.5 (-118)
WAKE -2.5 (-118)
Model
WAKE -3.7
Edge —
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
WAKE
PUR +120 · WAKE -142
Total 51.5 — no O/U pick
Total 51.5 — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
ML win
Why
CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.
- PUR rating -1.6, WAKE rating 4.6.
- Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
- Home field adds 2.5 to PUR.
- Predicted margin is WAKE by 3.7.
- There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
- Model away 3.7. No market line yet. (Rating gap -6.2; home field +2.5).
- Moneyline ticket is WAKE, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
- No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.
Recent form
WAKE
ESPN did not send a recent-form list.
PUR
ESPN did not send a recent-form list.
Injuries
no injury feed wired yet
Lock a ticket
Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.
Model away 3.7. No market line yet. (Rating gap -6.2; home field +2.5).
Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.