Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Saturday Slate

← The board
Fri, Sep 18 · 6:30pm CT · Allegacy Federal Credit Union Stadium · Winston-Salem, NC · ESPNFinal
#6 MIA
Miami Hurricanes · ACC · 3-0 · Away
FPI 23.9 · rank 6 · No CFBD row
-20.5 (-110)
-1600
WAKE
Wake Forest Demon Deacons · ACC · 2-1 · Home
FPI 4.6 · rank 54 · No CFBD row
+20.5 (-110)
+900

Market vs model

Spread
MIA -20.5
WAKE +20.5 (-110)
MIA -20.5 (-110)
Model
MIA -16.7
Edge
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
MIA
WAKE +900 · MIA -1600
Total 55.5 — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
ML win

Number from DraftKings, via ESPN.

Why

CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.

  • WAKE rating 4.6, MIA rating 23.9.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
  • Home field adds 2.5 to WAKE.
  • Predicted margin is MIA by 16.7.
  • There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
  • Model away 16.7. No market line yet. (Rating gap -19.2; home field +2.5).
  • Moneyline ticket is MIA, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
  • No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.

Recent form

MIA

FPI 23.9 · rank 6 · No CFBD row

ESPN did not send a recent-form list.

WAKE

FPI 4.6 · rank 54 · No CFBD row

ESPN did not send a recent-form list.

Injuries

no injury feed wired yet

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.

Model away 16.7. No market line yet. (Rating gap -19.2; home field +2.5).

Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.